A simulation with the same percentage of votes, but 4.1 percent for NEOS, would give the Greens and the SPÖ one mandate each in favor of NEOS.

A simulation with the same percentage of votes, but 4.1 percent for NEOS, would give the Greens and the SPÖ one mandate each in favor of NEOS.

A simulation with the same percentage of votes, but 4.1 percent for NEOS, would give the Greens and the SPÖ one mandate each in favor of NEOS. Which would also mean the Land Council of the Greens would be lost.

The surveys for the Upper Austria elections indicate that major changes are expected: the ÖVP is likely to drop from the 46.76 percent (28 seats) achieved in 2009 to below or, in the better case, just 40 percent. The SPÖ must hope for a “miracle” if it wants to maintain its second place, which it won with 24.94 percent (14 seats): it only comes in at 20 percent in its better polls. The FPÖ is predicted to achieve record growth of 15.29 percent (9 mandates), up to 28 percent. For the Greens (9.18 percent / 5 seats) it does not look as if they are making strong gains. In not too many surveys, the NEOS are above the four percent threshold.

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again and again Mon., Sep. 28, 2015 12:43 pm

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e finite movement in the country. nevertheless …. HOW can you still vote for this green one? it can only be the old-school social romantics who smell a traumatized Syrian in every stranger. and help where you can, but your own people are bullied .. well thanks to SO one party 🙁

andi56 Sat, Sep 26, 2015 8:12 pm

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black, green and red have failed, the next color might accomplish a little more, it is easy to do more than nothing except for unnecessary speed limits and higher taxes

Tavington Sat., Sep. 26, 2015 12:18 pm

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the current government has failed, so it has to go. whether strache or the rosene panter meanwhile doesn’t matter. but faymann, klug, mikl, short and co have to go.

rhenus Fri., Sep 25, 2015 7:57 pm

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The blues just rush, they don’t have any solutions either. Big go and nothing behind it. FPÖ, no thanks.

11223344 Sat, Sep 26, 2015 10:32 am

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aaaaaah, and the red ones don’t rush ??? e.g. against the blue? and have the red or any other color a solution? no, just an even bigger go. red and green are doomed to die out because they are simply incapable.

Tavington Sat., Sep. 26, 2015 12:21 pm

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I agree.

Independent Sat., Sep. 26, 2015 7:14 pm

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https://123helpme.me/

rehnus, you probably jump on the bandwagon and have no opinion yourself … pff

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Independent Fri, 25 Sep. 2015 5:49 pm

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Who else chooses green? He must really be crazy. I want to live in peace, that’s why I choose blue! I do not need, want or want any neighbors from abroad!

Rumor13 Fri., 25 Sep. 2015 11:24 am

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Well …. just unpacking the “Nazi club” will not be enough this time, because the discomfort and fear caused by this mass immigration does not only affect FPÖ regular voters ……..

christian95 Fri., Sep 25, 2015 12:51 pm

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100% correct! That’s exactly how I see it.

christian95 Fri., 25 Sep. 2015 13:05

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What will happen if the Greens are no longer there on Sunday? NOTHING! Nobody notices anything – except for the drivers: they can cheer.

Independent Fri., Sep. 25, 2015 6:57 pm

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We should also introduce a court for politicians if state interests have been jeopardized = imprisonment!

Tavington Sat., Sep. 26, 2015 12:21 pm

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or power chair.

Eloy Sat, Sep 26, 2015 4:57 pm

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Mr. “Stromstuhl”. Please finally attend a German course. There are enough of them in Vienna, so take part. You will see how good this does you and us here too …

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christian95 Fri., 25 Sep. 2015 10:48

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If you love Austria, don’t choose black and red or green again!

christian95 Fri., Sep 25, 2015 10:41 am

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The Greens usually have as the most important topic: “We want to be in front of the FPÖ”. Whenever the SPÖ or ÖVP are voted out, they are immediately available to obtain a further majority and are allowed to annoy motorists in gratitude.

Page 1 of 1 ”

From the top of the EU downwards, politics up and down the country has only been driven by one question for months: How should one deal with the tens of thousands of refugees who flock to Europe in search of protection and a new life? Upper Austria is no exception. With the exception of the NEOS, all of the parties running in today’s state elections stated that the issue of asylum had played a central role in the election campaign.

No wonder: As of September 21, 7,950 war refugees were housed in the state above the Enns, the majority of whom were in the state’s basic care. The number corresponds to 15.4 percent of all refugees who are currently registered in Austria and is thus slightly below the proportion of the population in the country: the 1.4 million Upper Austrians make up 16.7 percent of the Austrian population.

In a total of 166 of the 442 Upper Austrian municipalities, there are currently refugees with ongoing asylum procedures and if the majority of the campaigning parties are concerned, there will be even more. With the exception of the Freedom Party and the Christian Party (CPÖ), all of them spoke out in favor of the federal government’s right of intervention, which the National Council decided this week. In this way, the members of the federal government granted permission to accommodate refugees in municipalities without the consent of the state and the respective mayor.

Different approaches

In addition, the approaches to dealing with the refugees differ significantly, as the “Media Service Agency New Austrians” has found out. The SPÖ emphasizes, for example, that those people who manage to flee to Europe must be helped “immediately and in a humane manner”. In order to counter the smuggling crime, Europe must create regulated escape routes. In addition, everything must be done to combat the causes of flight in the respective countries. Peace initiatives and development cooperation with peaceful neighboring countries are intended to enable faster and better aid on the ground and thus enable people to stay in their region of origin.

The ÖVP is committed to a “humanitarian and solidarity refugee policy”: those displaced by war and terror or those who are politically persecuted should receive help, but the party calls for a change to “temporary protection for war refugees”, i.e. asylum for a while. People from safe countries of origin who want to improve their economic situation should not be accepted. The establishment of asylum centers in North Africa is to be further accelerated, and the ÖVP is calling for a fair and binding EU-wide quota for refugee distribution and EU-wide standards for refugee care in order to prevent “asylum tourism”. The human smuggling must be resolutely countered, the Schengen external borders more closely controlled, veil searches intensified.

The FPÖ does not want “any new mass quarters”, demands the reintroduction of border controls, the establishment of reception centers outside Europe, a fair allocation to all EU states and rapid asylum procedures or deportations.

Most urgent quarters for greens

The Greens emphasize the need for help, so all approaches to creating neighborhoods must be pursued with vigor. These are primarily organized, medium-sized quarters (20-35 people), but also private accommodation and – given the expected number of people fleeing – larger quarters as well. Residential containers are a solution for a certain transitional period, accommodation in tents is refused. The accommodations would have to be decent and winter-proof. In addition, the party wants safe and legal entry possibilities into Europe, the introduction of a fair EU quota system and the rapid abolition of the Dublin system. There is also a demand for a massively increased offer of language acquisition (German courses) as the basis for a functioning integration with the further steps of (training) education, work and living.

The KPÖ calls for the active provision of permanent accommodation in properties owned by the federal government, states and municipalities, division according to district quotas and accommodation in manageable units with appropriate support. In addition, asylum seekers should have the opportunity to work. The Dublin regulation is to be repealed and the possibility of direct asylum applications to EU embassies in countries of origin is to be created. The abolition of detention pending deportation is also required. Refugee care is to be entrusted to experienced non-profit organizations. A sharp crackdown is required in the case of inhuman, xenophobic and racist agitation.

The NEOS emphasize the importance of the separation between asylum and migration. Asylum is a human right; the party considers it a duty to help the persecuted. A European solution is essential here in the long term. In addition, the causes of the flight in the respective home regions would have to be addressed. Fast, above all human, solutions are necessary. Even those refugees whose application must ultimately be rejected should be able to say that they were received in a friendly and correct manner in Austria.

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The polls for the upcoming Vienna election on October 11th predict the FPÖ to continue increasing polling highs almost every week. One fact remains underexposed so far, but it could decide the choice. The SPÖ-FPÖ blocks on the one hand and the bourgeois camp (ÖVP, Grün formerly the liberal forum, now Neos) on the other, are surprisingly stable in Vienna. Their balance of power has barely shifted since 1991.

If you are looking for a Vienna election that is completely different from this year’s one, you have to go back a long way in history. In 1987 the ÖVP in Vienna was still a relatively large party. It reached 28.4 percent, the FPÖ, however, came to a modest 9.72 percent. A lot has changed since then. In every election except 2005, the FPÖ is the second strongest force in Vienna, but the ÖVP never recovered from its defeat in 1991. It plummeted to 18 percent at the time and has not reached more than 18 percent since then. Since then the SPÖ and FPÖ have been communicating vessels, the electoral success of one party is almost exclusively at the expense of the other. Between the two camps SPÖ and FPÖ on the one hand, or Greens, ÖVP and, at times, the Liberal Forum on the other, there is hardly any shift in votes. That remained stable over the ballots from 1991 to 2010, i.e. over 19 years. The probability that it will stay that way in this year’s state elections is high.

A lot can be read about the red-green camp in the run-up to every Viennese state election. But this is hardly reflected in the results. A permanent and measurable exchange between the voters of the SPÖ and the Greens has not taken place since 1991. That although in 1991 the political landscape in Vienna looked very different. In 1991 Helmut Zilk was mayor and Jörg Haider was at the beginning of his career. Together the SPÖ and FPÖ came to 70.35 percent. 19 years later, in 2010, Häupl faced Strache. The joint result of the SPÖ and FPÖ, at 70.11 percent, was almost the same as 19 years earlier. There was only very little variation between them. In 1996 and 2001 both parties together came to just over 67 percent.

Only in 2005 is something out of the ordinary. The FPÖ collapsed as a result of the black-and-blue government participation and the SPÖ increased, but not to the same extent. Both parties came together to 63.92 percent. If you add the BZÖ to the result, it was 65.07. Overall, there is a mere 5.28 percent between the best and the worst joint result of the SPÖ and FPÖ in Vienna. If the special case of 2005 is excluded, it was only 3.28 percent.

Vienna’s stable political camp

It hardly looks any different on the bourgeois side. The bourgeois parties fluctuate between 26.63 percent in 2010 and 33.4 percent in 2005. 6.7 percent is the maximum difference between the civil results of the individual ballots. Without the special case 2005 it is only 5.56. The difference is a little higher here than with SPÖ-FPÖ.

The SPÖ-FPÖ camp reached a maximum of just over 70 percent. This was particularly the case in the highly polarized election campaigns of 1991 and 2010. In 1996 and 2001 the result was slightly lower, at around 67 percent and in 2005 only 63.92 percent. In contrast, the middle-class camp reached a high of 33.4 percent in 2005. In 2001 and 1996 (at that time with the Liberal Forum) it came to 32.28 and 31.15 percent. In 1991 and 2010, however, only to 27.13 and 26.63.

Why is that important? The polls so far only partially reflect this previous balance of power. SPÖ and FPÖ come together in eight of the last 20 surveys on the portal

Neuwal

collected on a result that is worse than the last five ballots would suggest. If you exclude the special case 2005, there are 14 results. On the bourgeois side, things look a little better: only two of the election surveys overestimate the camp compared to the results so far since 1991. If you factor out the special case of 2005, seven surveys do that.

Neos must tremble to move in

The fact that SPÖ and FPÖ results are vessels that communicate with one another is not surprising that the joint results in elections over the decades differ so little, then rather. This can be seen down to the district level, where the results of the SPÖ and FPÖ are also communicating vessels.